Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 226.436472 254.832816 286.267045 323.796194 367.578920 417.279476 478.301822
2025-02-16 179.283588 215.677905 259.467354 316.622529 390.121674 482.661214 609.926228
2025-02-23 153.001808 192.139056 241.863356 310.771437 405.561000 534.073170 726.311804
2025-03-02 139.216139 181.106560 236.788928 317.972126 436.361975 607.777233 884.705790
2025-03-09 126.397487 169.187871 228.200827 317.940096 455.428682 666.129356 1030.579266
2025-03-16 114.388706 156.756276 217.000979 311.921124 463.623387 707.912146 1157.027549
2025-03-23 106.267623 148.856331 211.179672 312.743164 481.816122 767.640848 1326.279777
2025-03-30 97.672383 139.340974 201.803925 306.549008 487.135796 805.666051 1463.148147
2025-04-06 91.379280 132.669707 196.019729 305.255038 500.204001 858.994679 1642.017786
2025-04-13 83.287761 122.530749 183.807093 291.740426 489.573109 865.977923 1724.721991
2025-04-20 80.965106 121.244591 185.647167 302.420503 524.453927 966.947078 2042.213780
2025-04-27 79.269634 120.782729 188.722414 315.506719 565.644370 1088.359405 2445.319001
2025-05-04 75.191767 116.202627 184.615061 315.360649 581.418497 1160.287310 2751.869530
2025-05-11 70.279400 109.888660 177.018577 307.895261 581.268927 1196.936237 2976.641892
2025-05-18 66.131247 104.575327 170.737558 302.257451 584.123914 1241.094794 3239.063408
2025-05-25 64.194666 102.929636 170.866106 309.214633 615.440480 1361.083773 3783.347394
2025-06-01 61.445106 99.654545 167.728718 309.183702 630.931609 1444.242711 4243.300939
2025-06-08 58.166931 95.221480 162.090255 303.367958 632.062985 1489.471625 4589.776086
2025-06-15 55.979455 92.615386 159.701383 304.162295 649.164174 1582.810102 5163.602774
2025-06-22 53.146043 88.654668 154.421902 298.176478 648.670149 1625.516465 5556.470453
2025-06-29 51.063571 85.962264 151.424583 296.925910 660.049694 1706.616656 6159.693172
2025-07-06 47.821194 80.926527 143.479045 283.862069 638.993070 1682.855410 6274.467495
2025-07-13 47.290555 80.981827 145.702364 294.186303 681.697494 1874.027462 7548.495905